TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 2:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between Essex and Surrey scheduled for July 5 2026 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the cricket match between Essex and Surrey scheduled for July 5 2026 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader belief and financial risk. On Polymarket, odds emerge from open trading without a house edge, potentially offering sharper probability estimates. However, sportsbooks may adjust faster to breaking news or injury reports before this market fully reprices. Comparing the two can reveal where casual bettors and professional traders disagree, though both aim to reflect true event likelihood.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market by buying and selling outcome shares in an open order book. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance between bullish and bearish positions, with each trade updating the market price in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information, and wider bid-ask spreads may emerge during low-activity periods. The outcome with the highest probability typically attracts the most volume, anchoring overall market confidence.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, determining which team won the T20 Blast fixture. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges—team news, weather, or in-play developments may shift probabilities. Resolution is final once the event is settled, and any remaining open positions are paid out according to the confirmed outcome.
Several catalysts could shift this market significantly before Jul 12, 2026. Injury announcements or unexpected player absences for either side would reprrice win probabilities immediately. Team form, recent head-to-head results, and lineup changes announced closer to match day often trigger sharp moves. Weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions and playing strategy can also sway trader positioning. Live updates during the match itself—early wickets, batting momentum, or tactical decisions—will drive continuous repricing as traders react to unfolding events and update their conviction.