TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 2:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Durham and The Blaze scheduled for 2026-07-05 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Durham will be considered correct if Durham is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to The Blaze will be considered correct if The Blaze is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Durham and The Blaze scheduled for 2026-07-05 in T20 Blast, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Durham will be considered correct if Durham is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to The Blaze will be considered correct if The Blaze is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines with built-in margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders continuously adjusting to new information. Sportsbook odds may lag behind breaking news or team updates, whereas this market can respond instantly to shifts in sentiment. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though prediction markets typically offer tighter spreads and more efficient pricing over time.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that balances supply and demand for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all participants about which team will win the toss. As new information emerges—such as weather forecasts, pitch reports, or team news—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive and incorporates the latest available intelligence.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the toss result is confirmed and verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official toss call at the start of the match, with no ambiguity about which team wins. Resolution happens shortly after the match begins, making this a short-duration event. Traders should monitor official match broadcasts and team announcements to track when the toss outcome becomes public.
Several factors can shift odds before the toss occurs. Weather updates—particularly wind direction and cloud cover—may influence perceptions of toss advantage. Team news, such as injury announcements or lineup changes, can alter how traders assess each side's preparation. Pitch reports from the ground may suggest conditions favoring one captain's preference. Social media sentiment and expert commentary can also sway the market. Late-breaking information about ground conditions or coin bias typically triggers the sharpest price movements closest to match start.