TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Warwickshire and Glamorgan scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Glamorgan will be considered correct if Glamorgan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Warwickshire and Glamorgan scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Glamorgan will be considered correct if Glamorgan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on traders risking real capital to discover true probabilities. This market aggregates the beliefs of many independent participants rather than a single bookmaker's view, potentially offering sharper pricing on the toss outcome. Comparing the two can reveal where public perception and market consensus differ most significantly.
On Polymarket, traders set prices through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome has a share price between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents), and the cost to buy or sell reflects the current probability assigned by the market. As more capital flows toward one result, its price rises and the competing outcome falls, creating a dynamic equilibrium that balances supply and demand in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the T20 Blast match between Warwickshire and Glamorgan concludes and the toss result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official coin flip conducted before play begins. Traders holding shares in the correct toss outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match start, depending on when the toss is confirmed in official match reports.
Market prices may shift as match day approaches and new information emerges about team conditions, weather, or venue factors that historically influence toss decisions. Unexpected roster changes or injury announcements could alter trader sentiment if they affect which captain is more likely to win the flip. Late-breaking news about ground conditions or pitch reports may also trigger repricing. Additionally, sharp traders entering the market with large positions can move odds significantly, especially as liquidity concentrates closer to the event start time.