TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 17, 9:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Somerset and Northamptonshire scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Somerset will be considered correct if Somerset is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Northamptonshire will be considered correct if Northamptonshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Somerset and Northamptonshire scheduled for 2026-07-10 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Somerset will be considered correct if Somerset is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Northamptonshire will be considered correct if Northamptonshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money conviction. For a toss outcome, sportsbooks may offer fixed odds with built-in juice, whereas this market's price emerges organically from buy-and-sell activity. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders disagree on the likely result.
On Polymarket, traders set the price of this market through an automated market maker mechanism where buying and selling shares directly moves the odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome (Somerset or Northamptonshire winning the toss) is represented as a tradable contract, and the cost to buy a share reflects the current implied probability. As more capital flows into one side, that outcome's price rises and the opposing side falls, ensuring the market continuously reprices based on fresh information and trader positioning.
This market resolves around Jul 17, 2026, once the T20 Blast match between Somerset and Northamptonshire concludes and the toss result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team wins the coin flip at the start of play. Resolution occurs automatically after the toss is officially recorded and confirmed, settling all positions based on the actual toss winner.
Several factors can shift this market before the toss occurs. Team news—such as injury updates, lineup changes, or roster announcements—may alter trader expectations about which captain will be present for the coin flip. Weather forecasts can influence perceived advantage and shift sentiment. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side often signals confidence and can move odds significantly. Late-breaking match logistics, venue changes, or official toss-time adjustments may also trigger repricing as traders reassess conditions and probabilities.