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T20 Blast: Somerset vs Northamptonshire
kalshi
polymarket

Who will win Somerset vs Northamptonshire?

Volume:
$287,365

Somerset

 - Kalshi

Somerset - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 4:41 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Somerset

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$119,487
N/A
N/A
$66,598
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Somerset vs Northamptonshire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Somerset vs Northamptonshire - Who wins the toss?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
3.8¢
N/A
$260
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Somerset vs Northamptonshire - Completed match?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
99¢
N/A
$102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northamptonshire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,145
N/A
N/A
$88,862
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a T20 Blast cricket match between Somerset and Northamptonshire scheduled for July 10, 2026. Markets track the match winner, toss winner, and match completion status, with resolution tied to official ESPN Cricinfo records and competition playing conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: official ESPN Cricinfo result determines the winner, with consistent treatment of ties, tiebreaks, postponements, and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: ESPN Cricinfo (https://www.espncricinfo.com/) - official match statistics and results as recognized by the governing body and event organizers

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner resolves to the team declared winner by ESPN Cricinfo, regardless of method (standard play, DLS/DRS, Super Over, forfeit, walkover, or over-rate penalty)
  • Tied matches with on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over) resolve to the tiebreak winner
  • Tied matches without available on-field tiebreak resolve 50-50
  • Postponed or rescheduled matches remain open until the listed fixture is completed
  • Permanently canceled, abandoned, or no-result matches resolve 50-50
  • Toss winner resolves to the official coin toss result recorded by ESPN Cricinfo; remains valid even if match is delayed, relocated, or abandoned
  • Match completion resolves Yes if any official result is declared (including draws); resolves No if abandoned, no result, or permanently canceled

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Super Over or On-Field Tiebreak: If the match ends tied but playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak mechanism (e.g., Super Over in T20 Blast), the winner determined by that tiebreak is used for resolution, not a 50-50 split.
  • DLS/DRS and Penalty Rulings: Any result decided by Duckworth-Lewis-Stern method, rain rule adjustments, over-rate penalties, or other on-field rulings counts as an ordinary win and resolves accordingly.
  • Postponement vs Cancellation: If the match is postponed or rescheduled, markets remain open until the listed fixture is played. If permanently canceled before play, markets resolve 50-50.
  • Toss Resolution Independence: The toss result resolves based on the official coin toss winner even if the match is subsequently abandoned, delayed, or not completed.
  • Source Fallback (2-hour window): If ESPN Cricinfo has not published final statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used as secondary source.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match is completed and the official result is published by ESPN Cricinfo. For toss markets, resolution occurs immediately after the official toss is conducted. For match completion markets, resolution occurs when the match status (completed or abandoned) is finalized. Postponed matches keep all markets open until the rescheduled fixture is played or permanently canceled.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Somerset and Northamptonshire scheduled for July 10 2026 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the official winner declared by the governing body. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If such an event occurs after play has begun and the governing body declares an official winner, markets resolve accordingly. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price risk differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in margin; prediction markets reflect live trader consensus without a built-in spread. This market's odds on Polymarket and Kalshi may move faster than traditional sportsbooks because traders react instantly to news, team updates, or injury reports. Prediction market prices often converge toward true probability over time, making them useful for comparing against fixed sportsbook lines—especially if you spot divergence before the match begins.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity depths, and fee structures, which can cause temporary price gaps. Kalshi and Polymarket may also enforce slightly different rules around market closure timing or outcome verification, leading traders to hedge or position differently. Arbitrage traders often exploit these spreads, but friction costs and settlement risk mean gaps persist. Monitoring both venues helps you spot when one platform is pricing the match more conservatively or optimistically than the other.

Team news—injuries, roster changes, or player unavailability—typically drives sharp moves in this market. Weather forecasts, pitch reports, and toss outcomes can shift odds significantly, especially in T20 where conditions heavily influence batting and bowling. Recent form, head-to-head records, and venue-specific trends also influence trader positioning. Late-breaking team announcements or tactical shifts announced just before the match often trigger final repricing. Monitor official team social media and cricket news outlets for updates that could reshape market conviction.