TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Somerset
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Northamptonshire vs Somerset?

Volume:
$305,650

Somerset

 - Kalshi

Somerset - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 5, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 1:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Somerset

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$106,360
N/A
N/A
$70,095
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Somerset - Completed match?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$216
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Somerset - Who wins the toss?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Northamptonshire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$158,880
N/A
N/A
$103,436
Settled
No
polymarket

T20 Blast: Northamptonshire vs Somerset

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,077
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers three related cricket markets for the T20 Blast match between Northamptonshire and Somerset scheduled for July 5, 2026: whether the match is completed, who wins the coin toss, and the overall match winner. All markets reference ESPNcricinfo as the authoritative resolution source and apply standard T20 Blast playing conditions.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's match winner market lacks explicit resolution rules for abandonment, No Result, ties, and other non-win outcomes, while Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case handling. This creates settlement ambiguity on Kalshi.Hero tip: Polymarket's market is fully specified and should be treated as the authoritative reference. On Kalshi, assume the market may remain unresolved or default to No if the match does not produce a clear winner; verify with Kalshi support before committing significant capital.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Comprehensive match winner logic: DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit, and Super Over tiebreaks all count as ordinary wins. Ties without on-field tiebreak resolve 50-50. Abandonment, No Result, or permanent cancellation resolve 50-50. Resolution source is ESPNcricinfo (official) or credible consensus if official stats not published within 2 hours of match end. Key Quote: 'If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions... the market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Binary outcome definition only: resolves Yes if Somerset wins OR if Northamptonshire wins. No explicit guidance on abandonment, No Result, ties, or cancellation. Resolution source and timing not specified. Key Quote: 'If Somerset wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Northamptonshire wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' (Remainder of outcomes undefined.)
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the cricket match between Northamptonshire and Somerset scheduled for July 5 2026 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the match outcome. If an official winner is declared by the governing body, the market resolves Yes for the winning team. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before play begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, the market resolves based on that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Instead of a bookmaker setting odds, traders themselves determine prices through buy-sell activity, often reflecting sharper, real-time sentiment than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction market odds tend to adjust faster to breaking news, team updates, or weather changes because any trader can instantly rebalance positions. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and guaranteed payouts, while prediction markets reward early movers and active traders with potentially higher returns.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases, regulatory frameworks, and liquidity depths. Polymarket may see heavier volume from international traders, while Kalshi draws a US-focused audience with distinct risk appetites. Funding mechanisms, fee structures, and order-book depth also vary, causing temporary price gaps. Additionally, platform-specific rules around market resolution timing and data sources can create divergence. Savvy traders monitor both venues to spot arbitrage; price alignment typically tightens as the event approaches and information becomes more uniform across markets.

Key catalysts include team injury announcements, weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions, and recent form updates for either side. Toss outcomes and team selection changes can shift odds significantly, as can early-match momentum if live trading is enabled. Betting exchange activity and social media sentiment may also influence trader positioning. Major player absences or last-minute venue changes would trigger sharp repricing. Monitor cricket news outlets and official team announcements for updates that could swing this market before the final ball is bowled.