TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Northamptonshire and Gloucestershire scheduled for 2026-07-15 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Northamptonshire will be considered correct if Northamptonshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Northamptonshire and Gloucestershire scheduled for 2026-07-15 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Northamptonshire will be considered correct if Northamptonshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. In this market, the odds you see represent real money at stake from thousands of independent traders, not a bookmaker's margin. This can make prediction market prices more responsive to breaking news or shifting expert consensus. Comparing the two reveals whether the broader betting public or specialized traders view the toss outcome differently.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of each share reflects the collective belief in that result. As more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and the opposing outcome's price falls, creating a self-balancing system. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, rewarding early liquidity providers and allowing larger trades to execute with lower slippage.
Key catalysts include team news, weather forecasts, and venue-specific factors that might influence captain decisions at the toss. If injury reports or lineup changes emerge, traders may reassess strategic preferences for batting or bowling first. Weather updates closer to match day can shift perceived advantage, prompting repricing. Social media sentiment, expert commentary, and historical toss patterns for these teams may also drive trader activity. Late-breaking information about ground conditions or player availability typically generates the largest price swings in the final hours before the fixture begins.