TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 5:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Leicestershire Foxes scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast, League 2, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Leicestershire Foxes will be considered correct if Leicestershire Foxes is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Leicestershire Foxes scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast, League 2, Women. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Leicestershire Foxes will be considered correct if Leicestershire Foxes is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show tighter or wider spreads than traditional betting venues, depending on how many traders are actively pricing the toss outcome. Comparing this market's implied probabilities to sportsbook lines can reveal where consensus differs, though both sources update dynamically as new information emerges closer to match time.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker or order-book system, with each share worth one dollar at settlement if correct. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective forecast of all active traders at any given moment. As match conditions, team news, or weather updates emerge, traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new information and incorporates diverse viewpoints into a single, transparent probability estimate for the toss result.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the toss outcome is confirmed and verifiable from credible public sources covering the Women's T20 Blast fixture. The resolution hinges on the official toss result announced at the ground before play begins. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The timing aligns with the match start window, ensuring resolution occurs shortly after the toss is conducted and publicly reported.
Several factors can shift prices in this market before resolution. Weather forecasts or pitch reports may influence trader expectations about which captain wins the toss, since conditions can affect team strategy and coin-flip psychology. Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical announcements—can alter perceived advantage and thus toss-betting behavior. Late-breaking information from the venue or broadcasters may prompt rapid repricing. Additionally, large trades or sudden order flow can move the price sharply, especially if a well-known trader or group signals conviction. Monitor official team social media and match previews for catalysts.