TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 12:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers a women's T20 Blast League 2 cricket match between Gloucestershire and Leicestershire Foxes scheduled for July 3, 2026. Markets track the coin toss winner, match winner, and whether the match is completed. Resolution depends on official match data from ESPNcricinfo.
This market refers to the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Leicestershire Foxes scheduled for July 3 2026 in T20 Blast, League 2, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution depends on the official outcome declared by the governing body. If either team wins, that team's market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, or cancellation with no official winner declared, all markets resolve to $0.50. Forfeits, disqualifications, or concessions occurring before play begins result in $0.50 resolution; if they occur after play has begun and an official winner is declared, resolution follows that result. If play begins but insufficient play occurs to determine an official result, all markets resolve to $0.50.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Platform differences in user base, liquidity depth, and contract design can drive price divergence. Polymarket attracts a global audience with high-volume crypto-native traders, while Kalshi serves US-regulated retail and institutional participants. Fee structures, margin requirements, and order-book depth vary between venues. Lower liquidity on one platform can amplify price swings; arbitrage traders may not fully bridge gaps due to withdrawal delays or cross-platform friction. Monitoring both helps you spot temporary mispricings and understand which platform's price better reflects fundamental match dynamics.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury updates to star players, weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions, and recent form trends in women's T20 cricket. Toss outcomes and coin-flip betting often shift odds sharply just before play. Venue-specific factors—ground size, historical performance data, and home-ground advantage for either side—can trigger repricing as match day approaches. Live trading during the match itself will reflect wickets, run rates, and momentum swings, creating intra-match volatility for traders monitoring real-time developments.