TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire - Toss Match Double
polymarket
kalshi

T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire - Toss Match Double

Volume:
$438,831

Lancashire

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 16, 2026

Closed: May 25, 2:21 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Lancashire

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$214,482
N/A
N/A
$130,637
Settled
Yes
polymarket

LAN

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NOT

99%
Yes 98.9¢No 99.9¢
98.8¢
N/A
$1,232
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nottinghamshire

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$223,117
N/A
N/A
$170,578
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event group covers a T20 Blast cricket match between Lancashire and Nottinghamshire scheduled for May 25, 2026. The markets require BOTH the toss winner AND the match winner to be the same team for a non-Draw resolution. Polymarket explicitly structures this as a three-outcome market (Lancashire Winner, Nottinghamshire Winner, Draw), while Kalshi appears to offer binary Yes/No outcomes on individual team match wins.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly requires both toss AND match win by the same team to resolve to a team winner; Kalshi's market description references only the match outcome without mentioning the toss condition, creating scope ambiguity.Hero tip: Confirm with Kalshi whether the toss is a required condition for their market. If Kalshi resolves on match outcome alone, Polymarket's Draw outcome will trigger more frequently (whenever toss and match winners differ), making Polymarket's Draw option relatively more valuable.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Explicit 'Toss Match Double' requirement. Three-outcome structure: Lancashire Winner (both toss and match), Nottinghamshire Winner (both toss and match), or Draw (all other cases including toss/match mismatch). Resolves to Draw if match is abandoned, canceled, tied with no tiebreak, or if toss and match winners differ.
  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No on individual team match wins. Description states resolution based on match outcome only: 'If Nottinghamshire wins the...match...then the market resolves to Yes.' No explicit mention of toss condition in provided text, creating ambiguity about whether this is also a 'double' market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Lancashire and Nottinghamshire scheduled for 2026-05-25 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Lancashire will be considered correct if Lancashire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Nottinghamshire will be considered correct if Nottinghamshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket differ from traditional sportsbook odds because they are set by trader consensus rather than oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically apply margins and adjust lines for liability management, while prediction markets reflect direct supply and demand from participants. For the Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire toss, the Polymarket market price may move faster in response to breaking news or team information. Comparing Polymarket odds to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the prediction market is pricing the toss outcome more bullishly or bearishly than conventional betting venues.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Kalshi does not currently host a market for the T20 Blast: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshire - Toss Match Double. This event is available exclusively on Polymarket, where traders can buy and sell outcome shares at prices reflecting real-time probability estimates. If you are interested in trading this toss prediction, you will need to access Polymarket directly. Kalshi's regulatory framework and market roster differ from other platforms, so not all cricket events appear across all venues.