TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 11, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Surrey scheduled for July 4 2026 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Surrey scheduled for July 4 2026 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may price the result differently than traditional sports betting sites, particularly if informed traders spot value that bookmakers have missed or if public betting pressure skews one venue's line. Comparing both can reveal where the sharpest assessment lies.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker, with each share worth $1 if that outcome occurs and $0 otherwise. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the collective confidence of all active traders at that moment. Higher prices indicate stronger belief in an outcome; lower prices suggest skepticism. As new information emerges—team news, weather updates, or betting patterns—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift in real time.
This market resolves around Jul 11, 2026, once the T20 Blast match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the final score and official match result as recorded by the relevant cricket authorities. No ambiguity typically surrounds T20 outcomes, making resolution straightforward. Traders should monitor any last-minute changes to fixture scheduling or venue conditions that might affect the match before the resolution window closes.
Key catalysts include team announcements regarding player availability, injuries to star performers, or unexpected lineup changes. Weather forecasts closer to match day can shift odds significantly, especially if rain threatens to shorten the format. Recent form, head-to-head records, and venue-specific conditions also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about pitch conditions, toss outcomes, or last-minute tactical shifts will trigger repricing. Social media sentiment and expert commentary may sway retail traders, while sharp money often reacts to insider information or statistical edges that emerge in the final hours before play.