TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Northamptonshire scheduled for 2026-07-01 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Northamptonshire will be considered correct if Northamptonshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Gloucestershire and Northamptonshire scheduled for 2026-07-01 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Gloucestershire will be considered correct if Gloucestershire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Northamptonshire will be considered correct if Northamptonshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader conviction—there is no house edge. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants risking real capital, which can sometimes reveal edges that sportsbooks miss or adjust more slowly. Comparing the two can highlight where public opinion and professional oddsmakers disagree on the toss outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds continuously as traders place orders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome is represented as a tradeable share, and the price of each share reflects the implied probability the crowd assigns to it. Traders profit by buying low and selling high, or by taking positions they believe are mispriced relative to the true likelihood of the toss result. The system ensures transparent, real-time pricing without intermediaries setting the line.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the T20 Blast match between Gloucestershire and Northamptonshire has been played and the toss outcome is verified against credible public sources. The winning outcome is determined by which team wins the coin flip at the start of the match. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match conclusion.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before the match begins. Team news—such as injuries to key players or unexpected lineup changes—may alter perceived momentum and influence how traders expect the captain to call the toss. Weather forecasts can also matter; teams might prefer to bat or bowl first depending on pitch conditions, which subtly affects toss strategy. Media sentiment, betting patterns from professional syndicates, and last-minute odds moves on related markets can all trigger repricing. As match day draws closer, late-arriving information typically drives the sharpest moves.