TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 10, 9:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Glamorgan and Warwickshire scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Glamorgan will be considered correct if Glamorgan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Glamorgan and Warwickshire scheduled for 2026-07-03 in T20 Blast. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Glamorgan will be considered correct if Glamorgan is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Warwickshire will be considered correct if Warwickshire is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to "Draw". DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to "Draw". If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market's odds may move faster or slower than sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trading activity. Comparing the two can reveal whether professional bettors and casual traders agree on the toss outcome, or whether one venue perceives an edge the other has missed.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling outcome shares in an automated market maker (AMM) system. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The cost of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; as more traders back one outcome, its price rises and the competing outcome's price falls. This continuous repricing mechanism means the odds you see are always current and responsive to new information, trades, and shifting expectations about the toss result.
This market resolves around Jul 10, 2026, once the T20 Blast match between Glamorgan and Warwickshire has been played and the toss result is verified. The outcome is determined by the official toss call recorded at the start of the match and confirmed through credible public sources such as the match broadcast or the ECB's official records. Once the toss winner is established and reported, this market will settle according to which outcome occurred.
Market prices may shift based on team news, weather forecasts, or pitch reports that influence perceived toss strategy. If key players are ruled out or unexpected weather develops, traders may adjust their expectations about which captain will win the toss or how aggressively they'll pursue a particular outcome. Late-breaking injury reports, ground conditions updates, or changes to the match schedule could also trigger repricing. Additionally, if one team's recent toss record becomes widely discussed, sentiment may swing accordingly before the fixture begins.