TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 4:23 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether India will win their T20 Asia Cup, Women match against Sri Lanka. Currently, Polymarket gives India a 100.0% probability of winning, based on trading activity on the platform. Resolution will be determined by the official result reported on https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Keep an eye on the scheduled match time of September 13 2026 at 10:30 AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the result of that fixture.
This market refers to the cricket match between India and Sri Lanka scheduled for September 13 2026 at 10:30 AM ET in T20 Asia Cup, Women. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. If a large number of people believe India will win, the price will reflect that, potentially differing from sportsbook lines that might be influenced by factors like risk management and betting limits. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a value that represents the market's consensus probability. The current price indicates the implied probability of the outcome occurring, and changes in price signal shifts in market sentiment. Higher volume typically indicates greater confidence and more active trading around the event.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the India vs Sri Lanka match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the final market price at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources as the event approaches to stay informed.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in weather conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected announcements about playing conditions or strategic decisions by either team could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches within the T20 Asia Cup, Women could influence perceptions of team strength and overall tournament dynamics, potentially causing fluctuations in the price of this market. Monitoring sports news and expert analysis is crucial for understanding these potential catalysts.