TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 4:49 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a League of Legends match between T1 and FURIA Esports at the Mid-Season Invitational 2026. On Kalshi, T1 winning is priced at 98.0%, while FURIA Esports winning stands at 2.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the match scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, as determined by the tournament organizers. Watch for the match kickoff on July 6, 2026, which will determine the final resolution of this market.
Resolution is determined by the outcome of the T1 vs. FURIA Esports League of Legends match scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT during the Mid-Season Invitational 2026. The market resolves to Yes for whichever team wins the match.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on trader beliefs and capital allocation. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs. Prediction markets tend to incorporate real-time information efficiently, making them a useful reference point for assessing public expectations relative to bookmaker pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the marginal trade—the last matched order—and represents the market's live consensus on the likelihood of each outcome. As new information emerges or trader conviction shifts, the price adjusts dynamically. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price or accept the current spread.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official match result, with no ambiguity over winner determination. Until that time, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new developments or analysis shift their expectations. Resolution is final once the event is officially recorded.
Several factors may influence trader positioning before resolution. Team roster changes, recent performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history can shift expectations. In-game events—such as early kills, objective control, or momentum swings—often trigger repricing if the match is streamed live. Pre-match analysis from esports commentators and community sentiment can also sway the odds. Any unexpected roster substitutions or technical issues announced before the match begins could prompt rapid market movement as traders reassess probabilities.