TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:20 AM EST
Kalshi
This event centers around a competitive Valorant match between two professional esports teams, T1 and 100 Thieves, scheduled for September 27, 2026. The outcome depends on which team secures a victory in the match. The event accounts for various real-world scenarios such as postponements, cancellations, or forfeitures that may affect the match's completion.
The event resolves based on the result of the VCT Champions 2026 Valorant match between T1 and 100 Thieves, scheduled for September 27, 2026, at 5:00 AM EDT. If T1 wins the match, the T1 market resolves to Yes, and the 100 Thieves market resolves to No. Conversely, if 100 Thieves wins, their market resolves to Yes, and T1’s market resolves to No. Should the match be postponed and not commence within 48 hours of its scheduled start time, both markets resolve to their respective fair market prices. If the match is cancelled before any play begins, or if either team forfeits prior to the start, both markets also resolve to their fair market prices. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the result will be determined by the official outcome declared by the tournament organizer or governing body. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market relies on individuals freely trading contracts representing their beliefs about the event’s outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public perception diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can reveal valuable insights into how the crowd views the likelihood of various results in the T1 vs. 100 Thieves match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the T1 vs. 100 Thieves match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast of the event's outcome, based solely on the activity of traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the T1 vs. 100 Thieves match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Any disputes or ambiguities regarding the official result will be addressed using publicly available information to ensure a fair and accurate resolution of this market. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding player form, injuries, or strategic changes within either T1 or 100 Thieves would likely cause price fluctuations. Major announcements related to the tournament format or scheduling could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches leading up to the T1 vs. 100 Thieves matchup could influence perceptions of team strength. Finally, any significant public statements from players or coaches could move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.