TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 5:43 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if T1 advances to the Grand Final of MSI 2026, as shown on Liquipedia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." T1 will be considered to have reached the Grand Final if they are shown in the “Grand Final” slot of the MSI 2026 Bracket Stage on the resolution source. T1 does not need to play or win the Grand Final for the market to resolve to "YES." The Grand Final is currently scheduled for July 12, 2026. Primary resolution source: Liquipedia MSI 2026 event page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026 If MSI 2026 is postponed or rescheduled, this market will remain open until T1 is shown in the Grand Final slot or eliminated from the tournament, but no later than July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If neither occurs by that deadline, this market will resolve to "NO." If MSI 2026 is canceled before T1 is shown in the Grand Final slot, this market will resolve to "NO." If Liquipedia is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to "YES" if T1 advances to the Grand Final of MSI 2026, as shown on Liquipedia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." T1 will be considered to have reached the Grand Final if they are shown in the “Grand Final” slot of the MSI 2026 Bracket Stage on the resolution source. T1 does not need to play or win the Grand Final for the market to resolve to "YES." The Grand Final is currently scheduled for July 12, 2026. Primary resolution source: Liquipedia MSI 2026 event page: https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026 If MSI 2026 is postponed or rescheduled, this market will remain open until T1 is shown in the Grand Final slot or eliminated from the tournament, but no later than July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC. If neither occurs by that deadline, this market will resolve to "NO." If MSI 2026 is canceled before T1 is shown in the Grand Final slot, this market will resolve to "NO." If Liquipedia is unavailable at the time of resolution and remains unavailable for 72 hours, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and profit, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs in real time. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than traditional sports betting sites, depending on which venue's participants have fresher information or stronger conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest and where outlier views persist.
On Limitless, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective assessment of T1's likelihood of reaching the MSI 2026 Grand Final. As new trades execute, the price updates instantly to reflect fresh information and shifting expectations. Traders can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, with the bid-ask spread representing the current disagreement between buyers and sellers.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the MSI 2026 tournament concludes and the Grand Final participants are confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the final bracket and championship matchup. If T1 appears in the Grand Final, the yes outcome wins; otherwise, no prevails. Traders should monitor official tournament announcements and team performance throughout the event to adjust positions accordingly.
Key catalysts include T1's performance in group stage and knockout rounds, roster announcements or player injuries, head-to-head matchups against rival teams, and meta shifts in the competitive League of Legends environment. Strong wins build confidence in a Grand Final run, while early losses or upsets can sharply reduce implied probability. Coaching changes, scrim results, and analyst commentary also influence trader sentiment. Watch for bracket positioning, draw announcements, and real-time match outcomes to gauge momentum shifts in this market.