TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 11:09 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and Martin Krumich in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Tom Gentzsch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and Martin Krumich in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Martin Krumich. This market will resolve to 'Martin Krumich' if Martin Krumich advances against Tom Gentzsch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional betting markets, especially when complex factors are at play. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into the perceived value of each outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s price discovery process allows for a dynamic assessment of the potential results of the Gentzsch vs Krumich match, based on the aggregated insights of its participants.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gentzsch vs Krumich match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy for either Tom Gentzsch or Martin Krumich could significantly impact the odds. Unexpected announcements related to the match conditions or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, broader developments within the competitive scene, or even significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to price movements. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how the market evolves.