TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 11:36 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and Luka Mikrut in Szczecin will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Szczecin: Completed Match: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut” and a 0.1% probability to “Szczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Luka Mikrut”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour scores website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Traders should watch the originally scheduled match time of September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET, as this is when the initial signal for match completion—or potential postponement—will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tom Gentzsch and Luka Mikrut in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Luka Mikrut. This market will resolve to 'Luka Mikrut' if Luka Mikrut advances against Tom Gentzsch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ strengths. If there's a significant difference between the probabilities implied by this market and those offered by sportsbooks, it may indicate an opportunity for value betting, assuming you agree with the crowd’s assessment.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player winning the match. This creates a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Gentzsch vs Mikrut match, as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which player emerged victorious. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 25, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or team composition could also cause movement. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or tournaments might impact perceptions of the players’ overall capabilities. Public opinion, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, although the market ultimately relies on traders’ own assessments and willingness to take positions.