TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Rudolf Molleker in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Rudolf Molleker. This market will resolve to 'Rudolf Molleker' if Rudolf Molleker advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tiago Pereira and Rudolf Molleker in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tiago Pereira' if Tiago Pereira advances against Rudolf Molleker. This market will resolve to 'Rudolf Molleker' if Rudolf Molleker advances against Tiago Pereira. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a wider range of information and perspectives. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can reveal insights into how the crowd perceives the likelihood of various outcomes in the Szczecin tennis match, compared to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a particular player will win, the higher the price of shares representing that outcome will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing reflects the evolving sentiment and information available to traders regarding the Szczecin tennis match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiago Pereira versus Rudolf Molleker tennis match in Szczecin. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available sources, such as official tournament websites and sports news outlets. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of the match and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before the match concludes. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about player form or tactical changes could also cause the market to react. Any developments that alter the perceived likelihood of either Tiago Pereira or Rudolf Molleker winning the Szczecin tennis match are likely to generate trading volume and shift the odds.