TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Robert Strombachs and Pavlos Tsitsipas in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robert Strombachs' if Robert Strombachs advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Robert Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Robert Strombachs and Pavlos Tsitsipas in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Robert Strombachs' if Robert Strombachs advances against Pavlos Tsitsipas. This market will resolve to 'Pavlos Tsitsipas' if Pavlos Tsitsipas advances against Robert Strombachs. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, theoretically resulting in more accurate probabilities, although market sentiment can also play a significant role. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts regarding the Szczecin tennis match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in an outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current price indicates what the market believes is the likelihood of a particular player winning the Szczecin tennis match, based on the available information and trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Szczecin tennis match between Robert Strombachs and Pavlos Tsitsipas. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results to determine which outcome is settled as correct. Traders who held shares in the winning outcome will be eligible for payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Szczecin tennis match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated rankings could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even comments from analysts predicting a specific outcome, could also cause movement. Furthermore, large volume trades from influential participants on Polymarket can quickly impact the price, reflecting a change in perceived probability.