TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 1:19 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Zdenek Kolar in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Zdenek Kolar. This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Zdenek Kolar in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Zdenek Kolar. This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and often incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it may indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one is experiencing more activity than the other. It’s important to compare and contrast to form your own informed opinion.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. The market's efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately predict the event's outcome, as profitable trades are rewarded.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo versus Zdenek Kolar tennis match. This includes verifying the match completion and the final winner, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will then determine the winning share(s) and distribute payouts accordingly to those who correctly predicted the result.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or broader tournament results, might also affect market sentiment. Furthermore, large trades by influential market participants could create short-term price movements, and general public attention towards the match as it approaches could increase volume and volatility. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.