TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 7:02 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Vrbensky and Kai Wehnelt in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Kai Wehnelt. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Michael Vrbensky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Michael Vrbensky and Kai Wehnelt in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Kai Wehnelt. This market will resolve to 'Kai Wehnelt' if Kai Wehnelt advances against Michael Vrbensky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, especially as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Szczecin tennis match between Michael Vrbensky and Kai Wehnelt. Specifically, the market will determine which player won the match, according to the official tournament results. Any protests or appeals must be resolved before the outcome is finalized and the market is settled. The final result will be sourced from official tournament records and widely available sports news sources.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather impacting an outdoor match), or updates on their recent performance could shift the odds. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, might also impact trader sentiment. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential movements in this market leading up to Sep 21, 2026.