TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 3:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Daniel Michalski in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Daniel Michalski. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Marvin Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Daniel Michalski in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Daniel Michalski. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Michalski' if Daniel Michalski advances against Marvin Moeller. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can sometimes differ from sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and the expertise of oddsmakers, while this market relies on individuals freely trading and expressing their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage, where traders attempt to profit from the price variations between the two types of markets.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Szczecin tennis match between Marvin Moeller and Daniel Michalski. The platform will verify the result against established sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes to playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or significant shifts in public opinion could drive price changes. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities reflected in this market until it resolves.