TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 10:26 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Marvin Moeller in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Cecchinato and Marvin Moeller in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 17, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Cecchinato' if Marco Cecchinato advances against Marvin Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Marvin Moeller' if Marvin Moeller advances against Marco Cecchinato. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders on Polymarket, may incorporate information not fully captured by sportsbooks, such as on-the-ground insights or subtle player news. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on probabilities and risk assessment, potentially offering value to informed traders.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market efficiently incorporates available information and provides a real-time estimate of expectations for the Cecchinato vs Moeller match.
This market resolves around Sep 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Cecchinato vs Moeller match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The winning outcome in this market will correspond to the player who is officially declared the winner of the match. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when and how this market will be settled.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like court surface adjustments), or even unexpected weather forecasts could shift trader sentiment. Updates on player form, recent match results, or strategic changes announced by either Cecchinato or Moeller would also be key catalysts. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in expectations, potentially causing a rapid price movement in this market.