TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 11:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gakhov and Zdenek Kolar in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gakhov' if Ivan Gakhov advances against Zdenek Kolar. This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Ivan Gakhov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Ivan Gakhov and Zdenek Kolar in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ivan Gakhov' if Ivan Gakhov advances against Zdenek Kolar. This market will resolve to 'Zdenek Kolar' if Zdenek Kolar advances against Ivan Gakhov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets can incorporate information that sportsbooks may overlook or undervalue. Examining these differences can be insightful, but remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change as new information emerges. This market provides an alternative view on the likely result of the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Gakhov vs Kolar match. The price of these shares directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective intelligence of the traders. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Gakhov vs Kolar match as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be rewarded based on the final market prices at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries to either Gakhov or Kolar, or changes in playing conditions (like court surface or weather) could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader shifts in tennis rankings, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing the market to react accordingly. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into the evolving probabilities.