TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 8:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Pieczonka and Nikita Mashtakov in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Pieczonka' if Filip Pieczonka advances against Nikita Mashtakov. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Filip Pieczonka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Filip Pieczonka and Nikita Mashtakov in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filip Pieczonka' if Filip Pieczonka advances against Nikita Mashtakov. This market will resolve to 'Nikita Mashtakov' if Nikita Mashtakov advances against Filip Pieczonka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and the need to balance their books and ensure profit. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome of the Pieczonka vs Mashtakov match. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the event's potential. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or unexpected developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Pieczonka vs Mashtakov match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure drives prices down. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Pieczonka vs Mashtakov match as declared by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the final result. This process ensures a transparent and reliable resolution for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence the price action in this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either Filip Pieczonka or Nikita Mashtakov would likely cause substantial shifts in the odds. Changes in their recent performance, strategic adjustments announced by their teams, or even weather conditions impacting the match could also move the market. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and expert analysis, can also play a role, influencing trader behavior and driving price fluctuations.