TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 1:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total number of sets played in the Szczecin tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Daniel Galan will be over or under 2.5 sets. Currently, Polymarket gives a 100.0% probability to “Facundo Acosta vs. Daniel Galan: Total Sets O/U 2.5” resolving positively. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Keep an eye on the match itself, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET, as the outcome will be determined by the total sets played in that fixture.
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Daniel Galan in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Daniel Galan. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Galan' if Daniel Galan advances against Facundo Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of PredictionHero users. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of probabilities. If there's a significant difference, it might suggest that the crowd believes a sportsbook is mispricing the event, or vice versa. It’s valuable to compare both to get a well-rounded view of potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Acosta vs Galan match as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome wins. Traders who held shares in the correct outcome will be paid out based on the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public perception could cause the odds to move. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, large trades by individual users on Polymarket can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in sentiment or new information.