TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 3:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cervantes/Molchanov and Jecan/Pavel in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cervantes/Molchanov' if the team of Cervantes/Molchanov advances against Jecan/Pavel. This market will resolve to 'Jecan/Pavel' if the team of Jecan/Pavel advances against Cervantes/Molchanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cervantes/Molchanov and Jecan/Pavel in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cervantes/Molchanov' if the team of Cervantes/Molchanov advances against Jecan/Pavel. This market will resolve to 'Jecan/Pavel' if the team of Jecan/Pavel advances against Cervantes/Molchanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to discrepancies, as the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ on Polymarket may assign different probabilities to outcomes than professional oddsmakers. It’s common to see prediction markets, particularly closer to the event, converge with sportsbook odds as more information becomes available and public sentiment aligns, but initial differences are frequently observed.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the share price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of all participants, constantly updating as new information emerges and opinions shift.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Szczecin doubles match between Cervantes/Molchanov and Jecan/Pavel. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions at the tournament could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament, or strong performances by either team in other matches leading up to the event, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from influential participants on Polymarket could create momentum and drive price fluctuations as the match approaches.