TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:57 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Thiago Monteiro in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Thiago Monteiro. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Thiago Monteiro in the Szczecin, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Diego Dedura-Palomero' if Diego Dedura-Palomero advances against Thiago Monteiro. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Monteiro' if Thiago Monteiro advances against Diego Dedura-Palomero. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the players’ form and potential. Examining these differences can reveal where the crowd believes there is value, or where sportsbooks may have mispriced the probability of a particular outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive market. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe a particular player will win, the price of shares representing that outcome will increase.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Szczecin tennis match between Diego Dedura-Palomero and Thiago Monteiro. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. Any potential challenges or disputes will be evaluated based on the official tournament rules and decisions, ensuring a fair and accurate resolution process.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Sep 25, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in weather conditions affecting the match, or updates on player form and recent performance could all cause shifts in sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to the players’ preparation or strategies might also impact trading volume and prices. Furthermore, any significant betting activity observed in traditional sportsbooks could influence traders on Polymarket to reassess their positions and adjust their predictions accordingly.