TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 9:21 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Bogdan Pavel and Rudolf Molleker in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Pavel' if Bogdan Pavel advances against Rudolf Molleker. This market will resolve to 'Rudolf Molleker' if Rudolf Molleker advances against Bogdan Pavel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Bogdan Pavel and Rudolf Molleker in the Szczecin, Poland, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bogdan Pavel' if Bogdan Pavel advances against Rudolf Molleker. This market will resolve to 'Rudolf Molleker' if Rudolf Molleker advances against Bogdan Pavel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, but it's important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Szczecin tennis match between Bogdan Pavel and Rudolf Molleker. The winner of the match, as declared by the official tournament organizers, will determine the winning outcome in this market. It’s important to note that the platform relies on publicly available information to verify the result and finalize the market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions (like weather), or updates on player form could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in the tennis world, might also play a role. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and cause the price to move, reflecting the actions of informed traders responding to new information.