TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SZA: Weekly Streams
kalshi

SZA: Weekly Streams

Volume:
$200

Above 144M

 - Kalshi

Above 144M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 144M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
$175
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 145M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
$25
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 146M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 147M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 148M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 149M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 150M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 151M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 152M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 153M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 154M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether SZA will accumulate at least 144 million streams on Luminate during the week of May 22–28, 2026. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 98.0%. Resolution will be determined by Luminate's official worldwide streaming data for that tracking week, with the market resolving Yes if SZA exceeds 148 million streams during May 22–28, 2026. Watch SZA's release schedule and promotional activity leading up to the final week of May 2026, as new music drops or touring announcements could significantly influence streaming volume during the measurement period.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations rather than traditional analyst consensus. While music industry analysts may issue streaming projections based on chart performance and promotional activity, prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and financial incentives from participants betting on actual Luminate data. The market price serves as a crowdsourced forecast that can diverge from static analyst estimates, particularly when new tour dates, playlist placements, or release announcements shift trader conviction about SZA's weekly stream totals.

The SZA: Weekly Streams market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for the May 22–28, 2026 week. The contract settles based on whether SZA's total streams during that specific seven-day window meet or exceed 148,000,000. Luminate data is the authoritative source, ensuring an objective, verifiable outcome independent of chart rankings or subjective assessments of her performance.

Several catalysts could shift odds before resolution. A surprise single release or music video drop would likely boost streaming velocity. Tour announcements, festival appearances, or high-profile playlist placements on Spotify or Apple Music can drive cross-platform momentum into Luminate. Conversely, competing releases from other major artists or a slowdown in promotional activity could reduce her weekly stream total. Real-time streaming data leaks, social media trends, and radio spins also influence trader expectations about whether she'll cross the 148,000,000 threshold during that specific week.