TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Target Streams: 132,744,402
- Kalshi
Target Streams: 132,744,402 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 20, 2026
Closed: Jul 18, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This market tracks SZA's global streaming performance during the week of July 10-16, 2026. Participants predict whether the artist will exceed a specific streaming threshold based on data from Luminate, a neutral metrics provider.
Kalshi
If SZA has above 132,744,402 Worldwide Streams during the July 10 - July 16, 2026, tracking week, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money incentives and crowdsourced expectations rather than a single expert opinion. In this market, traders are directly betting on whether streaming activity will occur, which can reveal signals that analysts miss or weight differently. Comparing this market's odds to public statements from music industry analysts or entertainment reporters can highlight where the crowd sees higher or lower probability than conventional wisdom suggests.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen odds. The spread between the best bid and ask reflects the current uncertainty around the outcome. As new information emerges—such as social media hints, label announcements, or industry reports—traders adjust their positions, and the market price moves to reflect updated consensus. Higher prices indicate stronger belief in a streaming release this week.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed based on verifiable public reporting. The resolution hinges on whether the specified streaming activity occurs within the defined timeframe. Once the event is confirmed or the deadline passes, this market will settle according to the observed facts, allowing traders to collect winnings or losses on their positions.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Official announcements from SZA's label, management, or verified social media accounts would likely trigger sharp price moves. Surprise album or single drops, tour announcements, or streaming platform notifications could also drive trading volume and repricing. Industry news, chart performance of related releases, or credible leaks from music insiders may influence trader sentiment. Even subtle signals like playlist placements or radio play could sway expectations in this market.
