TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 11:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Pittsburgh will win the Syracuse vs Pittsburgh college football game by more than 10.5 points. Currently, Kalshi gives a 99.0% probability to Pittsburgh winning by over 10.5 points, with resolution determined by the final score of the game as defined by official game statistics. The market will resolve based on whether Pittsburgh wins by more than 27.5 points in the game originally scheduled for Sep 17, 2026. Keep an eye on the game’s final score on September 18, 2026, to see if Pittsburgh exceeds the necessary margin for resolution.
All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Syracuse vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. If Pittsburgh wins by the exact margin specified in a market's title, that market resolves as 'No.' For markets where Syracuse is the titled winner, the opposite logic applies. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. As more information becomes available and more people participate, the prices in this market can converge or diverge from sportsbook odds, potentially offering value to informed traders. Polls and analysts’ predictions often align more closely with prediction market prices than with initial sportsbook offerings, as they also represent aggregated opinions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders believe a particular spread is likely, the higher its price will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism creates a real-time assessment of the event’s potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Syracuse versus Pittsburgh football game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread matches a contract's value, and to 0 otherwise. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will lose their investment. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Syracuse or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team might also cause price fluctuations. Finally, any major shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could contribute to changes in this market’s pricing as traders react to new information.