TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 9:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the second quarter of a college football game between Syracuse and Pittsburgh. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team during that quarter to determine the outcome.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Syracuse vs Pittsburgh college football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. A market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins the quarter by more than the stated point margin. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows individuals to express their own beliefs about the game's outcome. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or as different bettors weigh in. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the likely result of the Syracuse-Pittsburgh game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Syracuse-Pittsburgh 2nd quarter spread. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges toward a fair value, representing the aggregated belief of the market participants regarding the final spread.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final 2nd quarter spread of the Syracuse versus Pittsburgh football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by sports data providers. The final spread will be compared to the contracts offered on Kalshi to determine payouts to those who correctly predicted the outcome. Traders will be able to see the official result and their winnings shortly after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Syracuse or Pittsburgh teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also impact the spread. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Finally, large trading volume from informed bettors could also drive price changes as they act on new information or insights.