TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 17, 8:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory in the first quarter of a college football game between Syracuse and Pittsburgh. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either team to resolve as a win.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Syracuse and Pittsburgh in the first quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 17, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the winning team must exceed the specified point margin threshold outlined in the market title. Only points scored during the first quarter count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within the 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, driven by the collective predictions of traders, aims to be a more pure reflection of perceived probability. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful data point for comparison, and discrepancies between the two can sometimes present opportunities for informed traders. It's common to see differences arise due to varying levels of information and differing opinions on team performance.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the Syracuse-Pittsburgh football spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available and as traders refine their assessments of the likely result.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final 1st Quarter Spread of the Syracuse vs. Pittsburgh football game will be used to determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' contract will pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and will be publicly available following the conclusion of the first quarter. Traders will then receive their payouts based on the final result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Syracuse or Pittsburgh would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also shift the odds. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could influence trader sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.