TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sydney Swans vs. Brisbane Lions
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Sydney Swans vs Brisbane Lions?

Volume:
$123,557

Sydney Swans

 - Kalshi

Sydney Swans - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Sep 5, 4:09 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sydney Swans

View
100%
77%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$66,822
N/A
N/A
$48,823
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sydney Swans vs. Brisbane Lions

100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Brisbane Lions

0%
75%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$56,269
N/A
N/A
$34,978
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the AFL match between Sydney Swans and Brisbane Lions scheduled for September 5, 2026. The markets resolve based on which team is officially credited with the match win according to AFL results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure mismatch between binary team outcome and yes/no resolution formatHero tip: Trade cautiously as draw outcomes resolve differently across platforms. Verify official AFL results within 24 hours post-match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to team name for win, 50/50 for draw, with specific handling for incomplete/canceled matches
  • Kalshi: Resolves Yes if either team wins without explicit draw handling in market description
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the AFL match between Sydney Swans and Brisbane Lions, scheduled for September 5 at 1:15AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Brisbane Lions" if Brisbane Lions is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Brisbane Lions vs Sydney Swans professional AFL game originally scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Brisbane Lions wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If Sydney Swans wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, all markets resolve to 50/50. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the AFL.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks the Sydney Swans vs. Brisbane Lions matchup across multiple prediction platforms, showing how traders price the contest. It aggregates volume and recent activity to give a consensus view of market sentiment. The display updates in real time, reflecting shifts in trader confidence as the event approaches. By monitoring this aggregated data, users can see which side is gaining momentum and assess overall interest in the game. The dashboard pulls data from leading platforms to provide a unified snapshot of market dynamics for this matchup.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this market can show price gaps because of differing user bases, liquidity levels, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more Australian fans, skewing its odds toward a favorite, while the other could reflect a global audience. Volume disparities also play a role — low trading activity can amplify small bets, pushing prices away from each other. Additionally, each venue applies its own fee structure and order-matching rules, which influence how prices adjust over time.