TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.3b

24H VOL:

$160,757,820

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,798,566,680

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,796,460,506

516,586

Markets across

38,144

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,845

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC?

Volume:
$475,752

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 7:05 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
73%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$71,400
N/A
N/A
$51,884
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Sydney FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC)

View
100%
75%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$16,900
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sydney FC

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188,408
N/A
N/A
$132,690
Settled
No
polymarket

Sydney FC

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$91,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Western Sydney Wanderers

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$80,860
N/A
N/A
$59,591
Settled
No
polymarket

Western Sydney Wanderers FC

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,721
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Sydney FC versus Western Sydney Wanderers FC soccer match. Currently, the consensus probability of a draw is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The resolution source for this market is https://www.a-league.com.au/. Additionally, there is a 0.1% probability assigned to Sydney FC winning on October 16, 2026. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for October 16, 2026, as the final result will determine market resolution.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi's resolution is less defined.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers a defined outcome in this scenario, while Kalshi's is uncertain.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus as fallbacks. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling, implying standard sports event cancellation rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Australia A-League game, scheduled for Friday, October 16, 2026 between Sydney FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Sydney FC vs Western Sydney Wanderers professional Australia A League soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Sydney FC wins, the 'Sydney FC' market resolves to Yes. If Western Sydney Wanderers wins, the 'Western Sydney Wanderers' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, all markets will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes in the Sydney Derby match between Sydney FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC. It aggregates trading volume across both platforms, currently totaling volume of $475,752, with $450,633 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. The dashboard provides a comprehensive overview of the Sydney Derby market, showing how predictions evolve as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their genuine beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when a large volume of traders participate. However, sportsbook odds can be influenced by public betting patterns, potentially creating short-term alignment with this market. The current volume of $475,752 suggests a strong level of interest in this event.