TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the Sydney FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC professional A-League soccer match scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track whether Melbourne Victory wins, Sydney FC wins, or the match ends in a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market contains a unique cancellation clause (resolves YES if game is canceled entirely) that does not apply to its win markets (resolve NO on cancellation). Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation or postponement guidance, creating platform-level divergence in edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any postponement or cancellation announcements. If the game is canceled with no make-up date, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES while its win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's behavior in this scenario is undefined—contact support for clarification before the event date.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Melbourne Victory win (YES if MV wins, NO otherwise), Sydney FC win (YES if SFC wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Unique feature: Draw market resolves YES if game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, while win markets resolve NO on cancellation. Postponed games remain open until completion.Kalshi:
Three outcome-based markets: Melbourne Victory wins (YES if MV wins), Sydney FC wins (YES if SFC wins), Tie (YES if tie). All refer to 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation, postponement, or make-up game logic provided. Treats all three outcomes symmetrically.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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