TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Colombia, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland score more goals than Colombia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Switzerland and Colombia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia score more goals than Switzerland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Colombia, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland score more goals than Colombia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Switzerland and Colombia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia score more goals than Switzerland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and risk models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like Polymarket derive prices from continuous trader demand and supply. Sportsbooks may adjust lines more slowly or conservatively, whereas prediction markets can react instantly to breaking news or live game developments. Both venues aim to price the probability of outcomes, but prediction markets typically incorporate real-time crowd intelligence, making them responsive to emerging signals that traditional sportsbooks may not yet have fully priced in.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the second half of the Switzerland vs. Colombia match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the official final score reported by the match organizers and confirmed through established sports reporting channels. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome will receive their payout based on the confirmed result. Until that time, this market remains open for trading, allowing participants to adjust their positions as the game unfolds and new information becomes available.
Several in-game developments can shift market prices significantly. Early goals, red cards, or injuries to key players typically trigger sharp repricing as traders reassess Switzerland's chances in the second half. Team momentum and tactical adjustments at halftime also influence sentiment, as do weather conditions or other external factors affecting play quality. News about player availability or unexpected lineup changes announced before kickoff can move odds before the match begins. Real-time betting patterns from other venues and social media sentiment may also influence trader behavior, causing rapid price swings as new information spreads through the market.