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406,019
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Closed: Jul 7, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Luis Diaz will record a goal or assist during the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup match, with a current probability of 1.0%. The secondary outcome tracks Daniel Munoz achieving the same feat at 1.0%. Resolution is determined by official FIFA records for any goals or assists recorded during regulation, stoppage time, and extra time periods. Watch for the match kickoff on July 7, 2026, when these player performances will be officially recorded.
Each outcome resolves to Yes if the specified player records at least one goal or assist during the entire match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. If a player is listed as active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, resolution is based on goals and assists actually recorded by that player.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one price outcomes based on collective trader belief. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper or more efficient pricing because traders have direct financial incentive to identify mispricings. However, sportsbooks may have access to different information or specialized models. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades at a price between 0 and 100 cents, directly reflecting the implied probability of the event. The Embolo contract currently reflects market consensus on his likelihood of scoring or assisting. Prices adjust in real time as new trades execute, so the odds you see represent the most recent equilibrium between buyers and sellers on the platform.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, after the Switzerland vs Colombia match concludes. The outcome is determined by whether Breel Embolo records a goal or an assist during the match. Resolution is verified against credible public sources, including official match records and reputable sports data providers. Once the event is confirmed and the result is clear, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on the final outcome.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before Jul 7, 2026. Team news—such as injuries, lineup changes, or tactical adjustments—can significantly impact Embolo's playing time and involvement in attacking play. Betting market activity and sharp money flowing into or out of the contract will move prices. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media coverage highlighting Embolo's form or matchup dynamics may also influence trader positioning. As the match date approaches, any official roster announcements or coaching decisions will likely trigger price movement.