TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Switzerland will defeat Colombia in their FIFA World Cup soccer match scheduled for July 7, 2026, with the outcome determined after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. On Kalshi, Switzerland to win stands at 41.0%, while Colombia to win is at 37.0%, according to the resolution source governing the match result. The market will settle based on the final score after regulation time concludes on July 7, 2026, excluding any extra time or penalty decisions.
This event encompasses three mutually exclusive outcomes for the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 7, 2026, evaluated at the conclusion of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Switzerland resolves to Yes if Switzerland wins during regulation. Colombia resolves to Yes if Colombia wins during regulation. Tie resolves to Yes if the teams are level on the scoreboard after regulation concludes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking profit through accurate forecasting. Sportsbook odds typically incorporate sharp professional input and real-time adjustments, whereas prediction markets aggregate distributed knowledge from a broader crowd. For this matchup, comparing the odds here to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd sees value that bookmakers have priced differently, though both sources offer legitimate perspectives on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust accordingly. Shares are quoted between 0 and 100 cents, with the spread between buy and sell prices tightening as volume increases. This dynamic pricing ensures the market stays responsive to new developments leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Switzerland vs Colombia match concludes and the final result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team is ahead on the scoreboard at the end of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout. Once the official result is confirmed, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Check the event details closer to the date for any final clarifications on timing.
Several factors can shift odds significantly before the match. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Recent form, head-to-head records, and tournament context (group stage dynamics, playoff implications) influence trader conviction. Weather conditions and venue factors may also matter. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments like unexpected roster changes or pre-game statements from coaches can create volatility. Monitoring sports news and team social media in the days leading up to kickoff will help you anticipate potential market moves.