TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 5:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether both Switzerland and Colombia will each score at least one goal during the 90 minutes of regulation play, including stoppage time, in their FIFA World Cup match. On Kalshi, the probability of both teams scoring stands at 29.0%. The market resolves based on official FIFA World Cup match records. Watch for the Switzerland vs Colombia match scheduled for July 7, 2026, which will determine the final outcome.
If Switzerland and Colombia both score a goal in the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup match originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on their conviction. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at incorporating late-breaking information and sharp analysis, since traders compete directly on accuracy. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter spreads and faster liquidity in some cases. Comparing both sources helps you identify value and understand where consensus lies on whether both teams will score in regulation.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and offers, and trades execute when orders match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction—and the spread between the best bid and ask represents the gap between bullish and bearish traders at that moment. As new information emerges or trading interest shifts, the order book updates dynamically, moving the price up or down. This continuous price discovery process means the market is always repricing based on fresh conviction from active traders.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the Switzerland vs Colombia match concludes and the final result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome hinges on whether both teams score at least one goal each during the 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. Once the match is complete and official records confirm the goal tally, the market will settle to either yes or no. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or officially cancelled.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, and recent form heading into the match. Betting market activity and sharp money flowing into sportsbooks can signal where informed traders see value. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and tactical breakdowns may shift perception of each team's attacking and defensive capabilities. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and venue factors can influence goal-scoring likelihood. Social media sentiment and fan engagement sometimes reflect emerging consensus. Any official statements about team changes or external disruptions will also move this market as traders recalibrate their odds.