TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 7:00 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming match between Switzerland and Colombia, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Switzerland and Colombia, scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Colombia" if Colombia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines based on oddsmakers' models and manage risk through margin, while prediction markets like this one derive prices directly from trader activity and real-money stakes. Traders betting on this market may incorporate live team news, injury updates, or tactical shifts that sportsbooks haven't yet repriced. Over time, prediction market prices tend to converge toward actual outcomes, making them a useful benchmark for comparing against published sportsbook lines on the same event.
On Predict, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders for each potential first goalscorer outcome. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of any outcome reflects the balance between demand and supply at that moment, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and liquidity. As match conditions change—such as team lineups or weather—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift in real time. This continuous repricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the Switzerland vs. Colombia match concludes and the first goalscorer is verified. The outcome is confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result, ensuring accuracy and transparency. Traders holding positions on the correct goalscorer receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of final whistle, allowing quick settlement and payout processing.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before the match kicks off. Official team lineups and starting formations—especially confirmation of key strikers—often trigger sharp repricing. Injury announcements or late withdrawals can dramatically alter the probability of specific goalscorers. Pre-match press conferences, weather forecasts, and tactical leaks may also influence trader positioning. On match day itself, early possession patterns and attacking opportunities in the opening minutes can cause rapid adjustments as traders react to live play.