TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the exact halftime scoreline in the Switzerland vs Colombia FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 7, 2026. On Kalshi, a 0-0 draw at halftime carries 75.0% probability, while a Colombia 1-0 lead carries 13.0% probability. Resolution is determined by the official halftime score reported for the match on July 7, 2026. Watch for team lineups and tactical formations announced in the days leading up to kickoff, as these will signal each side's defensive approach during the opening 45 minutes.
If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 0, Colombia 0 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 0, Colombia 1 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 0, Colombia 2 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 0, Colombia 3 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 1, Colombia 0 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 1, Colombia 1 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 1, Colombia 2 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 1, Colombia 3 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 2, Colombia 0 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 2, Colombia 1 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 2, Colombia 2 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 3, Colombia 0 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the score at the end of the 1st Half is Switzerland 3, Colombia 1 in the Switzerland vs Colombia professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, particularly for less-obvious scorelines. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value relative to conventional betting markets. Sharp traders often monitor both to identify mispricings, though prediction markets tend to be more efficient over time as real money flows toward accurate pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each possible halftime scoreline. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to commit capital, with higher prices indicating stronger crowd conviction. Shares trade between 0 and 100 cents, where the cent value approximates the implied probability. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. This decentralized pricing model typically produces tight, liquid markets for major sporting events.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, once the first half of the Switzerland vs Colombia match concludes. The outcome is determined by the verified halftime scoreline, confirmed against credible public sources including official match records and major sports reporting outlets. Traders who correctly predicted the exact score at the end of the first half receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the match ending, allowing quick settlement and payout processing on the platform.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the first half. Pre-match team news—such as confirmed lineups, late injuries, or tactical announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Weather conditions at the venue may influence scoring expectations, particularly if rain or wind affects play. Early match momentum and actual goals scored during the opening minutes will drive significant price movement as traders update their halftime projections. Betting syndicates and sharp money flowing into or out of specific scorelines can also move prices notably. Monitor official team announcements and live commentary to stay ahead of market shifts.