TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the assist performance of selected Swiss and Canadian players during the FIFA World Cup match on June 24, 2026. Players who are listed as active but do not enter the game will result in settlement at the last fair market price before kickoff.
Resolution is based on whether each player records at least one assist during the entire Switzerland vs Canada match, including regulation time, stoppage time, and any extra time periods. The market applies to the full game duration. If a player is active but never enters the game, the market settles to the last fair market price before game start. Once a player enters the game, settlement is determined by the player's actual assists recorded during play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader consensus and real-money risk. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information efficiently, sometimes pricing outcomes differently than traditional sportsbooks. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where informed traders see value or where public perception differs from market pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit or lose based on whether their prediction of the assists outcome proves correct at resolution. The price you see reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and moves dynamically as new information emerges and participants adjust their positions. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news or shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, once the Switzerland vs Canada match concludes and the final assist count is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the total number of assists recorded in the game according to official match statistics. Resolution occurs after the event is complete and the data is confirmed, ensuring all trades are settled fairly based on the actual result.
Several factors can shift this market before resolution. Team roster announcements, injury reports, or lineup changes affecting key playmakers will influence assist expectations. Recent form and head-to-head statistics between Switzerland and Canada may prompt repricing as traders adjust for historical patterns. Pre-match analysis from sports media and expert commentary can sway sentiment. Closer to game time, weather conditions, venue factors, and final team confirmations often trigger volatility. Real-time developments during the match itself—early goals, tactical adjustments, or player performance—will drive the most dramatic price movements.