TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the second-half outcome of the Switzerland versus Algeria FIFA World Cup match, focusing on which team scores more goals during the second 45 minutes of play. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability for a Switzerland second-half victory stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA World Cup governing body statistics, with credible reporting consensus serving as backup if official data is unavailable within 24 hours of match conclusion. Watch the match on July 2, 2026, to see whether Switzerland can extend its advantage in the second half.
In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Switzerland and Algeria, scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Switzerland" if Switzerland score more goals than Algeria in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Switzerland and Algeria score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Algeria" if Algeria score more goals than Switzerland in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The second half winner is determined by which team scores more goals during the 45 minutes plus stoppage time following halftime of the Switzerland vs Algeria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for July 2, 2026. Switzerland wins the second half if they score more goals than Algeria during this period. Algeria wins the second half if they score more goals than Switzerland during this period. A tie result occurs when no goals are scored during the second half, or when both teams score an equal number of goals. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and fee structures, which can create price gaps on the same outcome. Polymarket and Kalshi may also have slightly different user bases with varying access to real-time match data or tactical insights. Timing of large trades, regional trader concentration, and platform-specific incentives can all push prices apart temporarily. These differences typically narrow as arbitrageurs exploit the spread, but during live events or periods of low liquidity, meaningful divergence can persist. Monitoring both venues helps traders spot mispricings and understand where conviction is strongest.
Team news—injuries, lineup changes, or tactical shifts announced before kickoff—can shift second half expectations significantly. Early match momentum and the halftime score are powerful catalysts; if Switzerland dominates the first half, traders may bid up their second half chances, and vice versa. Red cards, substitutions, or injury timeouts during the match itself will trigger repricing as the remaining time and player availability change. Betting market moves on other platforms and social media sentiment can also influence trader behavior. Close attention to live commentary and real-time match flow will help traders adjust positions as new information emerges.