TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 7:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Switzerland wins by 2 or more goals against Colombia during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 7, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 7, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if Switzerland wins by 2 or more goals against Colombia during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 7, 2026, 20:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 7, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than major sportsbooks, depending on whether informed traders believe the consensus underestimates or overestimates Switzerland's chances of winning by two or more goals. Comparing both sources can reveal where market participants see value.
On Limitless, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders that determine the odds in real time. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trade—the last executed transaction—and shifts as new orders arrive or existing positions close. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Wider spreads between bid and ask typically indicate lower liquidity, while tighter spreads suggest active trading and more efficient price discovery.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, once the Switzerland versus Colombia match concludes and the final goal margin is verified. The outcome is determined by the official match result: if Switzerland wins by two goals or more, the affirmative resolves to yes; otherwise, it resolves to no. Resolution is confirmed once the event outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting of the final score.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, and recent form heading into the match. Betting-market activity and sportsbook line movements often precede shifts in prediction markets, signaling where sharp money is flowing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage can influence trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking tactical surprises may also trigger repricing. As match day approaches, this market typically tightens as uncertainty resolves and the event draws near.