TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 2:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Switzerland wins by 2 or more goals against Algeria during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 3, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if Switzerland wins by 2 or more goals against Algeria during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for July 3, 2026, 03:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than September 3, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this matchup, sportsbook spreads may emphasize sharp-money consensus, whereas this market aggregates a broader crowd of retail and professional traders. Both venues can offer valuable signals, but prediction markets sometimes capture longer-tail information or sentiment shifts that sportsbooks adjust more slowly.
On Limitless, traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes, with the price reflecting the collective probability estimate. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price moves continuously as new orders flow in, allowing traders to enter or exit positions at real-time rates. Liquidity, order book depth, and recent trade volume all influence how quickly prices adjust to new information. Traders can place limit or market orders to express their conviction on whether Switzerland will win by two or more goals.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the Switzerland-Algeria match concludes and the final scoreline is verified. The outcome is determined by the goal margin at full-time; if Switzerland wins by exactly two goals or more, the yes position resolves to one and no resolves to zero. If Switzerland wins by zero or one goal, draws, or loses, the no position prevails. Resolution is confirmed once the result is verifiable from credible public reporting of the match.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, tactical lineup announcements, and recent form or head-to-head history. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or media outlets can shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, venue factors, and betting-market movements on related props may also influence pricing. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments—such as unexpected absences or lineup surprises—often trigger sharp repricing. Live betting sentiment and early-match momentum can further reshape expectations closer to kickoff.