TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 12:09 AM EST
Kalshi
A national team will compete in the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup, with one of their players or the team collectively emerging as the leading goal scorer during the tournament.
The Switzerland Goal Leader market determines which player scores the most goals for the country during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. Goals scored during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time are included in the count, while goals during penalty shootouts do not count. If no goals are scored by any player, the No Goalscorer outcome resolves to Yes. When two or more players tie for the most goals scored, Yes holders receive 1/N of the payout (rounded down to the nearest cent), where N is the number of tied players, and No holders receive the remainder.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts and sports media predictions. Markets aggregate real-money bets from thousands of traders, creating a dynamic price that responds instantly to new information, injuries, team form, and public sentiment. Analysts and polls typically update less frequently and may reflect historical bias or consensus groupthink. The Switzerland: Goal Leader market price reflects traders' collective assessment of probability, which frequently outperforms individual expert opinions. Comparing the market odds to published analyst predictions can reveal where professional forecasters and the crowd disagree most sharply.
Switzerland: Goal Leader is priced on Kalshi as a binary or multi-outcome contract where each potential goal leader outcome trades as a separate share. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares at the current ask price if they believe that outcome will occur, or sell at the bid price if they want to exit or bet against it. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell orders, and the midpoint between bid and ask reflects the market's implied probability. Prices move continuously as new orders arrive, and you can place limit or market orders to enter or exit your position at any time before the market closes on Jul 20, 2026.
The Switzerland: Goal Leader market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final official statistics for the Switzerland tournament or competition in question, identifying which player scored the most goals. The market will settle once the authoritative result is confirmed and verified. Until that date, prices will fluctuate based on trader expectations, performance updates, and any changes to tournament structure or player availability. Check the event details page for the specific resolution criteria and any clarifications from the platform.
Several catalysts could shift Switzerland: Goal Leader odds significantly. Player injuries or withdrawals to key strikers will reduce their goal-scoring probability. Team form, recent match results, and tactical changes by the coach can boost or diminish a player's expected output. Tournament structure changes, fixture scheduling, and opponent strength affect playing time and scoring opportunities. International friendlies or qualifying matches before the main event provide live data on current form and goal-scoring rates. Media coverage, betting syndicates, and sudden lineup announcements also drive rapid repricing. Monitor team news, injury reports, and official tournament updates closely for the largest market moves.